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Naira & economy

Naira & economy

Naira weaker than ₦1,400/$ on 31 Dec?

₦86.1m traded · 7,310 traders

34%chance▼ 4 pts in 30 days

Yes 34%

Trade

Each share pays ₦100 if you are right. Yes ₦34 means a 34% chance.

Order book

PriceSharesTotal

For sale

Last ₦34Spread ₦1

Wanted

₦331,820₦60,060
₦323,180₦101,760
₦312,490₦77,190
₦301,490₦44,700
₦294,330₦125,570

Tap a price under For sale to buy at that price. Wanted shows what other traders are offering to pay.

Rules

Resolves Yes if the CBN's official NFEM closing rate for 31 December 2026 is above ₦1,400 per US dollar.

Source
Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), official NFEM closing rate
Market closes
31 Dec 2026 · 23:59 WAT
Payout
2 Jan 2027
Special cases
If no rate is published for 31 December, the last rate published before it counts.
Who may not trade
People who can influence or know the result in advance: officials, players, staff and their households, and anyone with non-public information. Breaking this rule closes the account and voids the trades.

Timeline and payout

  • Market opened

    15 Jul 2026



  • Market closes

    31 Dec 2026 · 23:59 WAT



  • Payout

    2 Jan 2027 · ₦100 per winning share

Comments

Phase 2
TK

tunde_k · 2 h

YesHolds 120 shares at ₦31

The naira has held steady since August. I still think year-end demand pushes it past 1,400.

ZN

zainab.ng · 5 h

NoHolds 300 shares at ₦62

CBN has more reserves than last year. I do not see a big drop before December.

Writing comments opens in phase 2. How Watch and Win works