Petrol above ₦1,000 per litre in Lagos on 31 Dec?

₦19.5m traded · 3,012 traders

47%chance▼ 3 pts in 30 days

1D 1W 1M All

Yes 47%

40%45%50%55%22 Sep30 Sep7 Oct15 Oct22 Oct

Trade

Each share pays ₦100 if you are right. Yes ₦47 means a 47% chance.

PriceSharesTotal

For sale

Last ₦47Spread ₦1

Wanted

₦463,000₦138,000

₦451,720₦77,400

₦444,260₦187,440

₦434,170₦179,310

₦421,610₦67,620

Tap a price under For sale to buy at that price. Wanted shows what other traders are offering to pay.

Resolves Yes if NNPC's retail pump price for petrol (PMS) in Lagos is above ₦1,000 per litre on 31 December 2026.

Source: NNPC Ltd, retail pump price at its Lagos stations
Market closes: 31 Dec 2026 · 18:00 WAT
Payout: 2 Jan 2027
Special cases: If NNPC changes the price during the day, the price at 18:00 WAT counts.
Who may not trade: People who can influence or know the result in advance: officials, players, staff and their households, and anyone with non-public information. Breaking this rule closes the account and voids the trades.

Phase 2

YesHolds 120 shares at ₦31

The naira has held steady since August. I still think year-end demand pushes it past 1,400.

zainab.ng · 5 h

NoHolds 300 shares at ₦62

CBN has more reserves than last year. I do not see a big drop before December.

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