Lagos

More than 80 mm of rain in Lagos in November?

₦4.8m traded · 806 traders

23%chance▼ 3 pts in 30 days

1D 1W 1M All

Yes 23%

20%25%30%1 Oct6 Oct12 Oct17 Oct22 Oct

Trade

Each share pays ₦100 if you are right. Yes ₦23 means a 23% chance.

PriceSharesTotal

For sale

Last ₦23Spread ₦1

Wanted

₦221,460₦32,120

₦214,010₦84,210

₦202,170₦43,400

₦194,120₦78,280

₦183,150₦56,700

Tap a price under For sale to buy at that price. Wanted shows what other traders are offering to pay.

Resolves Yes if NiMet records more than 80 mm of rain at its Ikeja station in November 2026.

Source: Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet), Ikeja station
Market closes: 30 Nov 2026 · 23:59 WAT
Payout: Within 3 days of NiMet's monthly report
Special cases: If Ikeja data is missing, the Lagos Marina station counts.
Who may not trade: People who can influence or know the result in advance: officials, players, staff and their households, and anyone with non-public information. Breaking this rule closes the account and voids the trades.

Phase 2

YesHolds 120 shares at ₦31

The naira has held steady since August. I still think year-end demand pushes it past 1,400.

zainab.ng · 5 h

NoHolds 300 shares at ₦62

CBN has more reserves than last year. I do not see a big drop before December.

Writing comments opens in phase 2. How Watch and Win works