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Politics

Politics

Which party wins the 2027 presidential election?

₦212.4m traded · 18,420 traders

58%APC · chance▼ 3 pts in 30 days

APC 58%ADC 27%PDP 8%LP 5%

Trade

APCAll Progressives Congress58%
ADCAfrican Democratic Congress27%
PDPPeoples Democratic Party8%
LPLabour Party5%

Order book · APC

PriceSharesTotal

For sale

Last ₦58Spread ₦1

Wanted

₦574,000₦228,000
₦564,310₦241,360
₦55520₦28,600
₦542,850₦153,900
₦533,080₦163,240

Tap a price under For sale to buy at that price. Wanted shows what other traders are offering to pay.

Rules

Resolves to the party whose candidate INEC declares winner of the 2027 presidential election. If there is a run-off, the run-off winner counts.

Source
Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), official declaration
Market closes
When INEC declares the winner
Payout
Within 24 hours of the declaration
Special cases
Court challenges do not delay payout. The market settles on INEC's declaration.
Who may not trade
People who can influence or know the result in advance: officials, players, staff and their households, and anyone with non-public information. Breaking this rule closes the account and voids the trades.

Timeline and payout

  • Market opened

    2 Jun 2026



  • Market closes

    When INEC declares the winner



  • Payout

    Within 24 hours of the declaration · ₦100 per winning share

Comments

Phase 2
TK

tunde_k · 2 h

YesHolds 120 shares at ₦31

The naira has held steady since August. I still think year-end demand pushes it past 1,400.

ZN

zainab.ng · 5 h

NoHolds 300 shares at ₦62

CBN has more reserves than last year. I do not see a big drop before December.

Writing comments opens in phase 2. How Watch and Win works