Will a Nollywood film gross ₦1bn at the box office by 31 Jan?

₦12.3m traded · 1,936 traders

66%chance▼ 8 pts in 30 days

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Yes 66%

65%70%75%22 Sep30 Sep7 Oct15 Oct22 Oct

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Each share pays ₦100 if you are right. Yes ₦66 means a 66% chance.

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For sale

Last ₦66Spread ₦1

Wanted

₦651,520₦98,800

₦643,710₦237,440

₦632,830₦178,290

₦621,570₦97,340

₦612,920₦178,120

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Resolves Yes if any Nollywood film reaches a total Nigerian box office gross of ₦1,000,000,000 by 31 January 2027.

Source: Cinema Exhibitors Association of Nigeria (CEAN), weekly box office report
Market closes: 31 Jan 2027 · 23:59 WAT
Payout: 7 Feb 2027
Special cases: Only cinema ticket sales count. Streaming and TV deals do not.
Who may not trade: People who can influence or know the result in advance: officials, players, staff and their households, and anyone with non-public information. Breaking this rule closes the account and voids the trades.

Phase 2

YesHolds 120 shares at ₦31

The naira has held steady since August. I still think year-end demand pushes it past 1,400.

zainab.ng · 5 h

NoHolds 300 shares at ₦62

CBN has more reserves than last year. I do not see a big drop before December.

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